Bartłomiej Radziejewski

Unlike assumed by Poland’s elites, the baseline scenario is American defeat and not American victory, the latter being not impossible but highly unlikely. And this changes a lot for the Republic of Poland

Contrary to popular belief, the outbreak of the pandemic was predictable. East Asia was prepared better because it did not neglect the warnings of scientists. In the West, this was prevented by the gap between the world of power and the world of knowledge

A pandemic is not a war, but it can have effects deeper than many armed conflicts. It means a return to the primal politics. It undermines the “coddling civilisation” and the idea that people are now always safe from a sudden death

The course of events has led to a new strategic situation: the coronavirus has become China’s biological weapon aimed at America

As long as Poland has the American nuclear umbrella over its head, nothing can threaten it. But once Poland loses this umbrella, it's quite clear that it should think seriously about getting nuclear weapons

Mere days after US Vice President Mike Pence’s historic speech, the world is already a different and much less safe place

The alliance is weakening in the eyes, blown apart by conflicts of interest and questioned in its present form by both the “feudal lord” (USA) and “the key vassal” (Turkey)

A Total War is highly unlikely, though to exclude the possibility – following the law of an escalating spiral – is unwise. We are oscillating clearly between three options: cold war, a limited conventional conflict and the USA surrendering its crown as global leader without it putting up a fight

Faced with the threat from China and Russia, America expects a clear commitment from European allies that are dependent on Washington in terms of security and in other areas