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Technological Thucydides’s Trap
In order to better understand the impact of AI on international relations, we can compare it to another type of technology which was also transformative in nature. The most common analogies include the impact of the development of nuclear weapons
The Polish version was published: 2.4.2019 Some experts claim that our world is inevitably headed towards a confrontation between the United States and China. It is no longer a matter of “if”, but a matter of “when” and “how”. The mechanism whereby the main superpower notices other states growing in power and makes the strategic decision to act in order to slow down their growth is known as Thucydides’s Trap. The term comes from a similar situation which occurred in the 5th century BCE, when the rise of Athens sparked concerns in Sparta, eventually leading to a war in which the latter defended their dominance from the aspiring city-state. This interpretation of the mechanism is deterministic and structural. This means...